Author: Moonke Dev (X:@moonkedev)
1/5 As a degen of @pumpdotfun, what are the chances of losing money? We analyzed the 75,991 tokens created on @pumpdotfun from June 10th to June 16th. Let’s dive in.
2/5 How many pumpfun tokens will successfully list on Raydium? Out of the 75,991 tokens created between June 10th and June 16th, only 1.42% listed on Raydium. 85.85% of new tokens were created by independent wallets, while 14.15% were created by duplicate wallets.
3/5 How long does a token take to list on Raydium? Among all tokens deployed from pumpfun to Raydium:
The 50th percentile token: takes 15 minutes to list on Raydium
The 75th percentile token: takes 59 minutes to list on Raydium
The 90th percentile token: takes 4.9 hours to list on Raydium
If your token is not deployed on Raydium within 5 hours, you may lose this opportunity forever.
4/5 What are the chances of your investment going to zero? Out of the 75,991 tokens we examined, 97.43% had less than 1 SOL in liquidity, and 98.41% had less than 10 SOL. If your token is not deployed on Raydium, the likelihood of your investment becoming “zero” is over 99%.
5/5 Lessons for degens:
1. Only about 1.4% of tokens ultimately deploy on Raydium
2. If a token is not deployed on Raydium within 1 hour, consider Jeet (exit in advance). Otherwise, the likelihood of your investment going to “zero” is over 99%.
3. Follow @moonkebiz and @moonkedev for alpha information related to memecoins.
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